We have actually been tracking this issue for some
time and is aware of discussions that have taken place with key congressional
sources regarding the viability of a possible legislative fix (two conversations
as recent as yesterday). The consensus
is that it could be done technically, but DC politics dictate that such an
effort would be a heavy lift.
The political reality is that neither Democrats nor
Republicans have the appetite to open up the Dodd-Frank Law for any changes at
this point.
Truth be told, congressional Republicans don’t want to do
anything to help the law actually work, as this was a highly partisan piece of
legislation, much like the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. The only way Republicans would be motivated
to even consider amending the legislation is if such action would substantively
lessen the administrative burdens on the banking industry and provide certainty
to the business community, especially small business.
And neither party wants to come back under fire from the
powerful financial services industry lobby, which would surely happen if
Dodd-Frank is opened back up – even for so-called technical fixes.
But just for the sake of argument,
let’s assume that legislation is introduced and some co-sponsors are lined
up. Does that mean success is any more
likely? Probably not. To understand this assessment, we need to
talk about the relative political power of interest groups in DC.
While many of the larger lobbying
organizations active in DC have the ability to block and/or shape legislation,
there are far fewer who have enough political juice to get their own special
interest legislation passed through Congress, no matter how limited. To be
blunt, the captive insurance industry simply does not fit into this latter,
more exclusive group.
Finally, the country’s biggest captive
domiciles simply do not have powerful congressional delegations with regard to insurance-related issues, which could
potentially offset the deficiencies and complications described above. That is not to say these members of Congress
would not be forceful advocates, they simply are not positioned to move
legislation envisioned by proponents of this approach.
So does all this mean that there will never be clarity
relative to whether the NRRA applies to captives? Well, it may not to come from Congress
for the reasons we just explained, but it may come from federal regulators as
part of the Dodd-Frank rule-making process.
In fact, this avenue is now being actively explored by self-insurance
industry lobbyists. This strategy can best be described as a
“surgical strike,” as opposed to an expensive and pro-longed “land war,” which
the congressional route would surely become.
We’ll see if the political operatives now engaged with
the regulators can hit the target. But
at least an arguably clearer path has been identified.
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